BET
129
02003 - 02005
As of August 2005 a Democrat is President of the US.
AGREE Stewart Brand
DISAGREE brian eno
STAKES $1,000
BET
126
02003 - 02013
Over the next ten years, we will make measurable global progress in all five areas of the human condition: food, access to clean water, health, education, and the price of energy.
AGREE Patrick C. Burns
DISAGREE Steven B. Kurtz
STAKES $400
BET
120
02003 - 02025
By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.
AGREE Kevin Kelly
DISAGREE Stewart Brand
STAKES $800
BET
117
02003 - 02005
The annual average cost between 2003 and Dec 31 2005 of the total retail price (commercial and residential) per Kilowatthour of electricity in the United States will rise as calculated by the U.S. Departmentof Energy in chained (inflation-adjusted) U.S. dollars.
AGREE Steven B. Kurtz
DISAGREE Patrick C. Burns
STAKES $400
BET
30
02002 - ?
The first discovery of extraterrestrial life will be someplace other than on a planet or on a satellite of a planet.
AGREE freeman j. dyson
DISAGREE Peter A. Spark
STAKES $2,000
BET
20
02003 - 02022
In 2022 the US economy will no longer be held to be the world leader in global environmental degradation.
AGREE Peter A. Spark
DISAGREE Alexander King
STAKES $2,000
BET
12
02002 - 02020
By 2020, no one will have won a Nobel Prize for work on superstring theory, membrane theory, or some other unified theory describing all the forces of nature.
AGREE John Horgan
DISAGREE Michio Kaku
STAKES $2,000
BET
11
02002 - 02150
At least one human alive in the year 2000 will still be alive in 2150.
AGREE Peter Schwartz
DISAGREE Melody K. Haller
STAKES $2,000
BET
8
02002 - ?
The US men's soccer team will win the World Cup before the Red Sox win the World Series.
AGREE Mike Elliot
DISAGREE Ted Danson
STAKES $2,000
BET
7
02002 - ?
The universe will eventually stop expanding.
AGREE Danny Hillis
DISAGREE Nathan Myhrvold
STAKES $2,000
BET
6
02002 - 02010
By 2010, more than 50 percent of books sold worldwide will be printed on demand at the point of sale in the form of library-quality paperbacks.
AGREE Jason Epstein
DISAGREE Vint Cerf
STAKES $2,000
BET
5
02002 - 02012
By 2012, the Wall Street Journal and the New York Times will have referred to Russia as "the world leader in software development" or words to that effect.
AGREE Esther Dyson
DISAGREE Bill Campbell
STAKES $10,000
BET
4
02002 - 02030
By 2030, commercial passengers will routinely fly in pilotless planes.
AGREE Craig Mundie
DISAGREE Eric Schmidt
STAKES $2,000
BET
3
02002 - 02010
A profitable video-on-demand service aimed at consumers will offer 10,000 titles to 5 million subscribers by 2010.
AGREE Jim Griffin
DISAGREE Gordon Bell
STAKES $2,000
BET
2
02002 - 02007
In a Google search of five keywords or phrases representing the top five news stories of 2007, weblogs will rank higher than the New York Times' Web site.
AGREE Dave Winer
DISAGREE Martin Nizenholtz
STAKES $2,000
BET
1
02002 - 02029
By 2029, no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test
AGREE Mitchell Kapor
DISAGREE Ray Kurzweill
STAKES $20,000
01999
02004
02009
02014
02019
02024
02029
02034
02039
02044
02049
02054
02059
02064
02069
02074
02079
02084
02089
02094
02099
02104
02109
02114
02119
02124
02129
02134
02139
02144
02149
01999
02004
02009
02014
02019
02024
02029
02034
02039
02044
02049
02054
02059
02064
02069
02074
02079
02084
02089
02094
02099
02104
02109
02114
02119
02124
02129
02134
02139
02144
02149






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